This behavior is seen more frequently in less used currency pairs. These pairs are therefore more volatile because their supply and demand are generally lower than the bigger, more commonly traded currency pairs. Currency pairs of combinations that are widely used and in circulation are more stable and less volatile. Volatility is also possible in the wake of big economic announcements when a sudden jolt in the market is possible.
Big announcements have the power to sway and move prices and sometimes even the bigger, more in-demand currencies are heavily influenced by these news events. Since the range of the more volatile currency pairs is wider than the less volatile, it is tempting to think that they are therefore better pairs to trade.
Since they move in a wider range, the payoff from a winning trade would seemingly be larger than a win on a more stable pair. This is partially true, however, since they are more exotic and less in demand, there is less liquidity and therefore quite a bit of risk.
Key Things Traders Should Know About Volatility The biggest risk facing traders who trade volatile currency pairs is that well thought out, carefully constructed technical analysis, might not be valid when applying it to these more volatile currency pairs. The reason is that technical analysis is based on the most liquid assets in the market. These difficulties and uncertainties make trading the more volatile pairs more difficult and not well suited to inexperienced traders.
For new traders, the dominant, more stable, and liquid pairs, are a better and safer investment. How to Trade Low and High Volatility Traders looking to trade lower volatility pairs may favor a strategy of swing trading. Once a currency in the range has been identified, traders can set support and resistance.
In addition, extremely volatile currency pairs are usually less liquid than the more stable currency pairs. Hence a well-planned strategy for risk management and trading is required. The AUD price is related to the value of Australian exports of metals, minerals, and other items, making it a commodity currency. The Japanese currency is preferred by investors when there are economic problems, making it a haven. So the value of this currency pair fluctuates rapidly depending on the outlook for the world economy.
Some of the major exports are honey, meat, eggs, and wood. Therefore, any change in the value of these commodities will affect the currency pair. However, this could decrease in the future. Therefore, the price of the AUD is closely related to the Australian export value. There has been a decrease in Australian exports to China, increasing the volatility since the United States started its trade war with China.
There are significant changes in Turkish politics and society, resulting in fluctuations in currency value. Hence traders are closely monitoring the currency pair due to the uncertainty involved. Hence it is riskier to trade in highly volatile forex pairs. The major currency pairs are less volatile.
Volatility is often associated with fluctuation in prices. Forex traders consider volatility one of the most critical factors while opening or closing any trade. Financiers assess the risk involved by checking the volatility. If the market is highly volatile, they may reduce their transactions since they will likely make more losses.
Expected volatility is calculated using current prices and the expected risks. Almost every currency can be volatile for some time. However, some currencies are more stable compared to others. These currencies usually represent economies with a low inflation rate, stable balance of payment, trade indicators, political system, balanced accounts for the government, predictable government monetary policy, and diversified economy with goods and services.
Though volatility patterns are changing, financial experts consider a few currencies more stable than others. The governments in these countries maintain transparent government financial records and do not interfere in forex markets. As a result, the major currencies for forex trading like the US dollar, Euro, British pound, Chinese renminbi, and Japanese yen are also reasonably stable. The Russian ruble, Brazilian real, Mexican, and Argentine peso are these currencies.
Forex correlation pairs Forex correlation represents the positive or negative relationship between two separate currency pairs. Forex correlation and forex volatility are separate terms, and there is no evidence that correlation increase or decrease volatility. Conclusion So, in the end, we can conclude that the forex market is full of irregularities.